Why UDA rejected ODM's Zoning Push

The United Democratic Alliance (UDA), Kenya's ruling party under President William Ruto, has rejected the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM)'s push for political zoning ahead of the 2027 general elections. 

This stems from ongoing negotiations around their broad-based government arrangement and potential pre-election coalition.

Zoning refers to an agreement where coalition partners agree not to field candidates in each other's traditional strongholds (e.g. barring UDA from contesting in ODM-dominated areas like Nyanza, parts of Western Kenya, and the Coast, and vice versa). 

ODM has pushed for this to protect its parliamentary, senate, and county assembly seats, accusing UDA of "raiding" or encroaching on its bases by fielding or supporting candidates there.

1. UDA's rejection is based on several key reasons from party officials and statements:

UDA positions itself as a national party with broad support across Kenya, not confined to ethnic or regional blocs. It claims growing popularity even in traditionally ODM areas, viewing zoning as unnecessary and contrary to its nationwide appeal.

2. Commitment to open competition and democracy — UDA leaders argue that zoning undermines free and fair elections, limits voter choice, promotes tribalism or ethnic-based politics, and weakens accountability (as candidates would rely on party protection rather than merit). For instance, figures like Molo MP Kimani Kuria have called zoning the "root cause of tribalism and lack of democracy" in some regions.

3. No restriction on fielding candidates anywhere — UDA National Elections Board Chairperson Anthony Mwaura explicitly ruled out zoning, stating the party would field candidates nationwide. UDA Secretary-General Hassan Omar and others have echoed that aspirants should be free to contest anywhere.

4. Focus on strengthening grassroots and party building — Some UDA voices (e.g., Senator Mungatana) argue that supporting vibrant parties and competition is incompatible with zoning, as it stifles growth and national unity.

This stance has created tensions, with ODM insisting zoning is non-negotiable for protecting its strength, while UDA favors "friendly competition" (including "friendly fire" in lower seats) to build democracy. 

President Ruto has hinted at this approach, suggesting no zoning in the deal.

The disagreement highlights shifting dynamics post-Raila Odinga's influence waning, ODM's internal cracks over the issue, and UDA's confidence in expanding its footprint. 

As of early March 2026, talks continue amid by-election results showing UDA gains in some areas.